Search Publications
Ensemble Modeling of CMEs Using the WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model
Jian, L. K.; Odstrcil, D.; Zheng, Y. +8 more
Ensemble modeling of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) provides a probabilistic forecast of CME arrival time that includes an estimation of arrival-time uncertainty from the spread and distribution of predictions and forecast confidence in the likelihood of CME arrival. The real-time ensemble modeling of CME propagation uses the Wang-Sheeley-Arge (WSA…
Relationship between Solar Energetic Particles and Properties of Flares and CMEs: Statistical Analysis of Solar Cycle 23 Events
Dalla, S.; Malandraki, O.; Tziotziou, K. +5 more
A statistical analysis of the relationship between solar energetic particles (SEPs) and properties of solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is presented. SEP events during Solar Cycle 23 are selected that are associated with solar flares originating in the visible hemisphere of the Sun and that are at least of magnitude M1. Taking into ac…
Flare-CME Models: An Observational Perspective (Invited Review)
Aulanier, G.; Vršnak, B.; Schmieder, B.
Eruptions, flares, and coronal mass ejection (CMEs) are due to physical phenomena mainly driven by an initially force-free current-carrying magnetic field. We review some key observations relevant to the current theoretical trigger mechanisms of the eruption and to the energy release via reconnection. Sigmoids observed in X-rays and UV, as well as…
From Coronal Observations to MHD Simulations, the Building Blocks for 3D Models of Solar Flares (Invited Review)
Aulanier, G.; Démoulin, P.; Janvier, M.
Solar flares are energetic events taking place in the Sun's atmosphere, and their effects can greatly impact the environment of the surrounding planets. In particular, eruptive flares, as opposed to confined flares, launch coronal mass ejections into the interplanetary medium, and as such, are one of the main drivers of space weather. After briefl…
Statistical Evidence for Contributions of Flares and Coronal Mass Ejections to Major Solar Energetic Particle Events
Dudok de Wit, T.; Klein, K. -L.; Miteva, R. +2 more
Solar energetic particle (SEP) events are related to flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs). This work is a new investigation of statistical relationships between SEP peak intensities - deka-MeV protons and near-relativistic electrons - and characteristic quantities of the associated solar activity. We consider the speed of the CME and quantitie…
Interplanetary Propagation Behavior of the Fast Coronal Mass Ejection on 23 July 2012
Temmer, M.; Nitta, N. V.
The fast coronal mass ejection (CME) on 23 July 2012 caused attention because of its extremely short transit time from the Sun to 1 AU, which was shorter than 21 h. In situ data from STEREO-A revealed the arrival of a fast forward shock with a speed of more than 2200 km s−1 followed by a magnetic structure moving with almost 1900 km s
Geometrical Relationship Between Interplanetary Flux Ropes and Their Solar Sources
Marubashi, K.; Cho, K. -S.; Gopalswamy, N. +3 more
We investigated the physical connection between interplanetary flux ropes (IFRs) near Earth and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) by comparing the magnetic field structures of IFRs and CME source regions. The analysis is based on the list of 54 pairs of ICMEs (interplanetary coronal mass ejections) and CMEs that are taken to be the most probable solar…
Evolution and Consequences of Interacting CMEs of 9 - 10 November 2012 Using STEREO/SECCHI and In Situ Observations
Srivastava, Nandita; Mishra, Wageesh; Chakrabarty, D.
Understanding the kinematic evolution of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in the heliosphere is important to estimate their arrival time at Earth. The kinematics of CMEs can change when they interact or collide with each other as they propagate in the heliosphere. In this article, we analyze the collision and post-interaction characteristics of two E…
Geoeffectiveness of Coronal Mass Ejections in the SOHO Era
Rodriguez, L.; Vršnak, B.; Veronig, A. +6 more
The main objective of the study is to determine the probability distributions of the geomagnetic Dst index as a function of the coronal mass ejection (CME) and solar flare parameters for the purpose of establishing a probabilistic forecast tool for the intensity of geomagnetic storms. We examined several CME and flare parameters as well as the eff…
Improved Helioseismic Analysis of Medium-ℓ Data from the Michelson Doppler Imager
Schou, Jesper; Larson, Timothy P.
We present a comprehensive study of one method for measuring various parameters of global modes of oscillation of the Sun. Using velocity data taken by the Michelson Doppler Imager (MDI), we analyze spherical harmonic degrees ℓ ≤300 . Both current and historical methodologies are explained, and the various differences between the two are investiga…