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How much has the Sun influenced Northern Hemisphere temperature trends? An ongoing debate
Henry, Gregory W.; Solheim, Jan-Erik; Scafetta, Nicola +20 more
In order to evaluate how much Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) has influenced Northern Hemisphere surface air temperature trends, it is important to have reliable estimates of both quantities. Sixteen different estimates of the changes in TSI since at least the 19th century were compiled from the literature. Half of these estimates are "low…
Class imbalance problem in short-term solar flare prediction
Wan, Jie; Fu, Jun-Feng; Liu, Jin-Fu +3 more
Using data-driven algorithms to accurately forecast solar flares requires reliable data sets. The solar flare dataset is composed of many non-flaring samples with a small percentage of flaring samples. This is called the class imbalance problem in data mining tasks. The prediction model is sensitive to most classes of the original data set during …
Predicting the CME arrival time based on the recommendation algorithm
Luo, Bingxian; Liu, Zhu; Li, Ming +9 more
CME is one of the important events in the sun-earth system as it can induce geomagnetic disturbance and an associated space environment effect. It is of special significance to predict whether CME will reach the Earth and when it will arrive. In this paper, we firstly built a new multiple association list for 215 different events with 18 character…