Discovery and physical characterization as the first response to a potential asteroid collision: The case of 2023 DZ2
Licandro, J.; Alarcon, M. R.; Hudin, L.; Curelaru, L.; de la Fuente Marcos, R.; de la Fuente Marcos, C.; de León, J.; Predatu, M.; Berteşteanu, D.; Popescu, Marcel M.; Văduvescu, O.; Stănescu, M. O.; Serra Ricart, M.; Barwell, F.; Jhass, K.; Boldea, C.; Aznar Macías, A.; Dumitru, B. A.
Romania, România, Spain, United Kingdom
Abstract
Context. Near-Earth asteroids (NEAs) that may evolve into impactors deserve detailed threat assessment studies. Early physical characterization of a would-be impactor may help in optimizing impact mitigation plans. We first detected NEA 2023 DZ2 on 27 February 2023. After that, it was found to have a minimum orbit intersection distance (MOID) with Earth of 0.00005 au as well as an unusually high initial probability of becoming a near-term (in 2026) impactor.
Aims: We perform a rapid but consistent dynamical and physical characterization of 2023 DZ2 as an example of a key response to mitigating the consequences of a potential impact.
Methods: We used a multi-pronged approach, drawing from various methods (observational-computational) and techniques (spectroscopy-photometry from multiple instruments), and bringing the data together to perform a rapid and robust threat assessment.
Results: The visible reflectance spectrum of 2023 DZ2 is consistent with that of an X-type asteroid. Light curves of this object obtained on two different nights give a rotation period P = 6.2743 ± 0.0005 min with an amplitude A = 0.57 ± 0.14 mag. We confirm that although its MOID is among the smallest known, 2023 DZ2 will not impact Earth in the foreseeable future as a result of secular near-resonant behaviour.
Conclusions: Our investigation shows that coordinated observation and interpretation of disparate data provides a robust approach from discovery to threat assessment when a virtual impactor is identified. We prove that critical information can be obtained within a few days after the announcement of the potential impactor.